Ahead of the 2024 presidential election, an analysis conducted by the American Immigration Council has revealed that more than 23 million immigrants who have naturalized to become citizens of the United States are eligible to vote.
This provides insight into how legal immigration into the country is providing a significant electoral power for naturalized citizens.
“As more immigrants naturalize and become eligible to vote, they continue to gain political power,” the analysis states. “The number of immigrant voters is only projected to rise in the next decade, and in some states, foreign-born voters are already capable of deciding elections.”
According to 2021 data, there are more than 23 million immigrants in the United States who are eligible to vote ahead of the upcoming election. Of these immigrants, nearly 24 million have obtained American citizenship through naturalization.
This analysis suggests that foreign-born individuals will comprise approximately 10 percent of all eligible voters in 2024—an unprecedented level of representation for those born outside of the country.
Consequently, this offers an immense amount of voting power to non-native citizens.
The foreign-born share of the American electorate is profoundly significant, as presidential elections in swing states are routinely decided by slim margins.
For example, the 2020 election was determined by a mere seven million votes. In Nevada, President Joe Biden’s victory over former President Donald Trump hinged upon 33,500 votes; similarly, Arizona was decided by 10,400 votes while Georgia was separated by just 11,800 votes.
Pennsylvania’s margin of difference was 81,600 votes and Michigan had 154,000 more for Biden than Trump while Wisconsin’s gap amounted to 20,600.
Foreign-born voters tend to be more supportive of Democratic candidates than Republican candidates; however, pollsters declined to track this data in the 2020 election.
In 2016 though exit polls conducted by CNN indicated that Democrat presidential candidate Hillary Clinton won foreign-born vote 64 percent compared to Trump’s 31 percent whereas native-born Americans voted 49 percent for Trump and 45 percent for Clinton.
If only foreign-born citizens voted in 2016 then Clinton would have secured a resounding victory over Trump.
Recently, Breitbart News reported that the foreign-born population in the United States is projected to reach an unprecedented 50 million under the Biden administration.
This vast majority of immigrants are admitted through the process known as “chain migration”, where naturalized citizens can sponsor an unlimited number of green cards for their foreign relatives.
If current legal immigration levels remain consistent, an additional 15 million foreign-born individuals could be added to the American electorate by 2043.
Of these, it is estimated that eight million will have been granted entry due to family ties already residing in the United States.